GDP numbers: EAC-PM rejects ex-CEA’s claims, releases level-to-level rebuttal – Times of India

NEW DELHI: The Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) on Wednesday rejected the claims of former CEA Arvind Subramanian regarding over-estimation of GDP numbers and said that India’s current methodology is at par with its global standing as a responsible, transparent and well-managed economy. The EAC-PM released a detailed note titled ‘GDP estimation…

GDP numbers: EAC-PM rejects ex-CEA’s claims, releases level-to-level rebuttal – Times of India

NEW DELHI: The Economic Advisory Council to the Top Minister (EAC-PM) on Wednesday rejected the claims of damaged-down CEA

Arvind Subramanian

referring to over-estimation of

GDP numbers

and acknowledged that India’s recent methodology is at par with its global standing as a responsible, transparent and smartly-managed economy.

The EAC-PM launched an extensive mutter titled ‘GDP estimation in India – Perspectives and Facts’ and because it earlier mentioned, the mutter it seems presents a level-to-level rebuttal to a fair now not too lengthy ago revealed paper titled ‘India’s GDP Mis-estimation: Chance, Magnitudes, Mechanisms, and Implications’ by Subramanian.

EAC-PM to complete encourage out with level-by-level rebuttal of ex-CEA’s claims on GDP numbers

Economic Advisory Council to PM has refuted the claims of damaged-down CEA Arvind Subramanian referring to overestimation of GDP numbers and acknowledged this would perchance well near out with a level-by-level rebuttal in due course. Subramanian, in a paper, had acknowledged India’s financial growth rate has been puffed up by round 2.5 percentage capabilities between 2011-12 and 2016-17 due to the a swap in methodology for calculating GDP.

Subramanian, in a paper, mentioned that India’s financial growth rate has been puffed up by round 2.5 percentage capabilities between 2011-12 and 2016-17 due to the a swap in methodology for calculating GDP.

Countering this, the mutter circulated by authorities mediate-tank Niti Aayog mentioned that “it affords a clear rationale for India’s swap to an improved GDP estimation methodology in January 2015. The novel methodology that uses 2011-12 as the vulgar yr entails two major improvements, a) Incorporation of MCA21 database, and b) Incorporation of the Recommendations of Machine of National Accounts (SNA), 2008. This swap became once in accordance with other worldwide locations which contain modified their methodologies in accordance with SNA 2008 and revised their respective GDP figures. On an moderate, trusty GDP estimates noticed an amplify of 0.7% among OECD worldwide locations.”


The principle contributors to the mutter, namely Bibek Debroy, Rathin Roy, Surjit Bhalla, Charan Singh and Arvind Virmani reject Subramanian’s methodology, arguments and conclusions on the premise of tutorial merit and remove of Indian realities, it added.







The open also mentioned that it “implies that Subramanian has cherry-picked about a indicators and performed a gorgeous unconvincing regression diagnosis to mutter his hypothesis that India’s GDP became once over-estimated put up 2011-12. To illustrate, the mutter highlights the absurdity in Subramanian’s paper that selectively ignores tax info in step with the argument that the duration put up 2011-12 witnessed ‘major changes in negate and indirect taxes’. Interestingly, Subramanian’s diagnosis ends on March 31, 2017, while the suitable major tax swap (GST) became once equipped on July 1, 2017.”


The mutter concluded with the level that “India’s GDP estimation methodology is by no scheme a supreme exercise and the ministry of statistics and program implementation is engaged on a complete lot of aspects to enhance the accuracy. On the assorted hand, the course and hasten of enchancment is commendable and as of at the novel time the methodology is at par with its global standing.”


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